China manufacturing activity grows most in two years
The Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 58.6 from 56.1 in March, the statistics bureau said in an e-mailed statement. That's the highest since the index started in January 2005.
The People's Bank of China has stepped up the pace of monetary tightening measures to curb lending and investment and cool growth in the world's fourth-largest economy. The central bank raised interest rates on March 18 and has ordered lenders to set aside more money as reserves four times this year.
“They're clearly sensitive to the potential for overheating,” said David Cohen, an economist at Action Economics in Singapore.
He expects “a few more hikes” in bank reserve requirements this year as well as higher interest rates and administrative measures to cool growth.
Economic growth accelerated to 11.1 percent in the first quarter, outpacing economists' estimates, on a trade surplus that almost doubled to $46.4 billion. Last year's 10.7 percent expansion was the fastest since 1995.
The People's Bank of China increased reserve requirements three times in 2006 and raised borrowing costs twice.
The April figure doesn't indicate economic growth will continue to accelerate, Zhang Liqun, a senior research fellow at the State Council's Development Research Center, said in Tuesday's e-mailed statement.
“Economic growth has stabilized and won't continue at the rate of the first quarter,” Zhang said. ----------------- Power shortages
Central Bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan is trying to curb asset bubbles, accelerating inflation and excessive factory investment that may lead to overcapacity and energy shortages.
China may face a fourth summer of power shortages as accelerating production strains oil and coal supplies, the National Development and Reform Commission, the top economic planning body, said April 26.
Inflation reached a more than two-year high of 3.3 percent in March. China's benchmark CSI 300 share index gained the most of 90 global stock benchmarks tracked by Bloomberg in April, rising 28 percent.
The Purchasing Managers' Index is based on a survey of more than 700 companies in 20 industries including oil and gas, oil refining, metallurgy, transport equipment and electronics. A reading above 50 reflects an expansion in business activity and a reading below 50 indicates a contraction.
The survey tracks changes in output, new orders, export orders, employment, inventories, input prices, and raw material prices. The data is seasonally adjusted.
The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing jointly releases the index with the statistics bureau.